We are now 4-8-1 and down $260.91. I would consider that to be pretty good, considering how much the odds were against us the first few picks. Last week, the Pacers pushed and did not fully cover, but because we opted for extra security on the parlay, the money line still hit and allowed us to make a chunk of our money back.
Time to ride our hot streak.
Like always, all lines pulled from https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/basketball/nba.
Bet #1: Portland to cover the spread at Golden State for -110 odds. The Warriors are playing without Draymond Green again and D’Angelo Russell is listed as day-to-day. If D-Lo plays, maybe he can keep this game from being an utter-blowout, but there is still no way they keep up with the Blazers’ fire-power. Plus, the Blazers just got their hearts broken on a buzzer-beater loss, I expect Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum to light it up and the Blazers to win big.
Bet #2: Houston to cover the spread at Memphis for -105 odds. This game could go a few different ways; the Rockets could bounce back and show that they give a crap, or they could continue to embarrass themselves and lose on the road to the Grizzlies. I’m going with the former. Coach Mike D’Antoni called a timeout half-way through the third in their 29-point loss last night and they came out and were actually playing hard and running quality offensive sets for the next few minutes — I think they can build off this. I also think James Harden, P.J. Tucker, Eric Gordon, and others (Russell Westbrook not playing) have too much grit and pride to follow up last night’s embarrassing loss with another one. Plus, they have been on the wrong side of statistical anomalies; they have been missing an insane amount of shots they typically make at quality rates and their opponents have been making everything. This game is a gut-check game for them, and I think they’ll finally start making shots. I’d expect them to win by around 12-15 points.
Bet #3: Milwaukee to cover the spread at Minnesota for -112 odds. I don’t like picking three road teams, but Milwaukee is just such a superior team and I think this is a poorly set line. The Bucks only need to win by at least seven points over the Karl Anthony-Towns less Wolves? I’ll take that all day.
Parlay of the week: Milwaukee to cover the spread, Portland money line, and Houston to cover the spread for a total payout of $434.39. This is another simple parlay. I’m very confident Milwaukee/Houston covers the spread and were litigating risk with the Portland pick by switching from the spread to the money line.