Welcome back to Chandler’s Gambling Corner. Thanks to everyone who persevered and stuck around after the 0-8 start; we have already recovered, and we have officially profited! After going 3-1 last time, we are now 9-11-1 and up $263.18.
Let’s keep the hot streak going.
Like always, all lines pulled from https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/basketball/nba
Bet #1: Detroit over their individual points total for -115 odds. The Pistons are averaging 109 points per game and their line for tonight is set at 103. Last night was the first night Blake Griffin played, and he is listed as day-to-day for tonight. While the Heat are a good defensive team, they play at the 11th fastest pace in the league. This means that there will be lots of possessions for both teams to score; it is very possible for the Pistons to hit their over with or without Blake.
Bet #2: Portland to cover the spread in Sacramento for -105 odds. The Kings will be playing without De’Aaron Fox for the next few weeks, this will hurt them significantly against the Trail Blazers. I don’t think the Kings guards will be able to matchup with the Blazers guards without Fox. Plus, at the end of the day, Portland is clearly the better team than Sacramento without Fox, they should be able to win by more than two.
Bet #3: Utah to cover the spread against Brooklyn for -107 odds. This bet stems from the Jazz being a significantly better team and I think their offensive talent matches up better on the defensive end than the Nets. I don’t think the Nets have good match-ups for Donovan Mitchell or Mike Conley. Mostly though, the Nets lack discipline and the Jazz are built on it. Utah will run through their sets all night and I would guarantee at least a couple defensive breakdowns by Brooklyn. Not to mention, Utah has a great home-court advantage.
Bet #4: Parlay of the week: Utah to cover, Portland money line, and the Denver money line for a final payout of $409.20. I just described why I am very confident in Utah to cover, the only somewhat reasonable way that does not happen is if Kyrie goes nuts. I switched Portland to the money line for a little more security. I added Denver because they are basically a lock to beat Atlanta; they have a great home-court advantage, they are by far the better team, Atlanta is terrible on defense and Denver is great on offense. It should be a blowout.